PT 50 S4 Q14

If Juan went to the party, it is highly unlikely that Maria would have ... ...

The pattern of reasoning in the argument above is most similar to that in which one of the following?
(A) According to the newspaper, all eight teams in the soccer tournament have an equal chance of winning it. If so, then we will probably lose our goalie, since if we do lose our goalie we will probably not win the tournament.
(B) ...
(C) ...
(D) ...
(E) ...

*This question is included in Parallel Structure: Intro Set